Wednesday, June 18, 2025

UO Matrix via Applied Indexation — Establishing Predictive Value (Venn: Innovation and Efficiencies)

 

Sustainability of thematics in volatile markets amid fluid public policy is often dependent on the durability of parallel concurrent narratives, underscoring the importance of innovation and efficiencies in evolving industries. Strategic leverage and tactical allocations in this environment are advanced thru adaptive applications of group analytics and valuation.

Proprietary research suggests refined standard benchmark sector/industry/subindustry index/proxy nomenclature assignments establish an improved context to better characterize the interrelationships among component member business segment operations, delineating company profiles across investment themes.

For intuitive reference in practical exercise, first Venn:

At Venn’s intersection, sets and subsets of competing interests endure. The dynamic principles of business segment operations are three-fold: 1) multinational and Large-cap companies function as benchmark sector/industry/subindustry index/proxy based on scale (Alpha-Beta), 2) Small- and Mid-cap companies participate as competitive peers (Alpha) and, hence, acquisition candidates and 3) among subsets of 1) and 2) are companies provisioning multiple economic sectors, asset classes and geographies.

Then, integrating peer group analytics and valuation, an introduction to <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation methodology:

In this example featured <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation Clean Energy thematic is derived from a combined Renewables/Diversified Industrials/Technology sector-themed overlay, utilizing the modularity of business segment operations embedded within company revenue lines to generate effective Tier-2: Alpha and Alpha-Beta screens (cross-asset/multi-sector/multi-factor; template).

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation builds upon dimensioned competitive market information and past-positive forward looking relative indicators in tandem, borne from benchmark analysis on a portfolio-weighted basis in an effort to capture component member performance dispersion within an assigned benchmark index/proxy (performance attribution, data integrity).

Given the nature of corporate catalysts driving valuation <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation serves as useful construct for scenario/sensitivity analysis and subsequent relative value opportunities, presenting business segment operations comparatively (organically by segment/classification) and lending informed data analytics to pattern the directional value of securities (equity, corporate credit).

Active Value portfolio strategies (fundamental, index-plus) isolate Value in Growth and Growth in Value by aligning the prospective Alpha drivers directly associated with ecosystem composition, supply chain verticals and investable motifs (niche, thematic, megatrend) peak-to-trough at distinct points of inflection (cycles/subcycles; differentiated growth rates).

__

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation spreadsheet downloads available for research libraries at b-platform Access tab (auto-generated password, PayPal hosted; additional data points available under separate agreement, software adaptive for independent model builds and SaaS conversion).

Please message direct with any questions or for product development considerations. Revisit 1QTR25 <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation period release here and site resources for background (12 segments, 66 classifications, 245 single and multi-listed component members, n=63 as of 033125).


#EnergyComplex #CleanEnergy #Renewables #Strategy #PortfolioManagement #PortfolioStrategies #CorporateFinance #BSOs #Analytics

w/r/t the past-positive forward looking portfolio-based relative indicators featured in <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation, a brief primer is provided online along with recent posts ‘Alpha, Beta, Alpha-Beta’, <U/O> Tutorial_5: Performance Dispersion (Meta) and slideshow <U/O> Matrix - Establishing Predictive Value: Applied Indexation, Hierarchical Data Sets and Competitive Market Information.




Forward looking statements, estimates and certain information contained herein are based on proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. This content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. No part of this product, related articles, publications or web-based content may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission of Universal Orbit © 2025 and David B. Kleinberg.


Wednesday, April 23, 2025

1QTR25 UO Matrix via Applied Indexation


In advance: 1QTR25 <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation is currently available in multi-sheet format.

Featured Clean Energy thematic is derived from a combined Renewables/Diversified Industrials/Technology sector-themed overlay within Invesco’s publicly traded Clean Energy subindustry benchmark proxy ETF (ticker PBW), utilizing the modularity of business segment operations embedded within company revenue lines to generate effective Tier-2: Alpha and Alpha-Beta screens.

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation presents proprietary methodology at scale to illustrate adaptive benchmark/index applications of peer group analytics and valuation, establishing context for institutional investors to identify empirical/prevalent/emerging themes and complementary portfolio strategies (attribution, performance dispersion).

In this context <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation methodology presents data analytics on a relative portfolio-weighted basis to dimension competitive market information and demonstrate interrelationships among benchmark index/proxy component members across economic sectors/asset classes/geography based on corporate business segment operations. Data integrity is fundamentally strengthened by refinement of conventional sector/industry/subindustry nomenclature assignments.

From a capital markets standpoint, sustainability of thematics is often dependent on active value (innovation, efficiency, consumerism, price) as a key catalyst for incremental/decremental outperformance. Durability of investment narratives peak-to-trough is reflective of captured comparative growth rate differentials in tandem with the ability to isolate valuation drivers at distinct points of inflection amidst the cycles/subcycles within greater cyclicities (idiosyncratic, dislocations).

>> PBW total return: 1Q25 -28.7%, 1-mo. -13.9%, 12-mos. -21.9%; 12-mos. performance dispersion +503.1%/-94.2% (042225).

>> PBW Fwd adj. PE=20.4 Beta=1.6 versus 24.7/1.6, 23.9/1.6 and 28.4/1.6 sequentially [40.0 limit; N/A totals 52.6% (v. 51.5%) based on portfolio weight and 58.7% of count (+6.5%), 6.8% on market capitalization (+1.1%); Large-cap 29.4% (+5.6%), Mid-cap 36.0% (+4.0%), Small-cap 34.5% (-10.3%)].

>> SPX 12-month Fwd PE=19.0/1Q25 v. 21.5/4Q24, 21.4/3Q24, 21.2/2Q24 (FactSet); CAPE 34.5 from 37.4/36.7/35.8, mean 17.2 (Shiller).

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation segments include Wind, Solar, Fuel Cells, Smart Grid, Water, LED, Biofuel, Automotive, Natural Gas, Storage and Aviation plus further classifications detailing component member assignments based on corporate business segment operations (12 segments, 66 classifications, 245 single and multi-listed component members; n=63).

Please message direct with any questions or for product development considerations; spreadsheet downloads available for research libraries at b-platform Access tab (auto-generated password, PayPal hosted; note tutorials in support).


universalorbit.com/Access

#EnergyComplex #CleanEnergy #Renewables #Strategy #PortfolioManagement #PortfolioStrategies #CorporateFinance #BSOs #Analytics

w/r/t the past-positive forward looking portfolio-based relative indicators featured in <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation, a brief primer is provided online along with posts ‘Alpha, Beta, Alpha-Beta’, <U/O> Tutorial_5: Performance Dispersion (Meta) and slideshow <U/O> Matrix - Establishing Predictive Value: Applied Indexation, Hierarchical Data Sets and Competitive Market Information.




At Venn’s intersection, sets and subsets of competing interests endure. The dynamic principles of business segment operations are three-fold: 1) multinational and Large-cap companies function as benchmark sector/industry/subindustry proxies based on scale (Alpha-Beta), 2) Small- and Mid-cap companies participate as competitive peers (Alpha) and, hence, acquisition candidates and 3) among subsets of 1) and 2) are companies provisioning multiple economic sectors, asset classes and geographies.

Successful portfolio strategies (fundamental, index-plus, systematic) and adaptive investable motifs (niche, thematic, megatrend) isolate Value in Growth, and Growth in Value, by aligning the prospective Alpha drivers directly associated with ecosystem composition and supply chain verticals.

Forward looking statements, estimates and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. This content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. No part of this product, related articles, publications or web-based content may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission of Universal Orbit © 2025 and David B. Kleinberg.


Thursday, January 16, 2025

4QTR24 UO Matrix via Applied Indexation


In advance: 4QTR24 <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation is currently available in multi-sheet format.

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation presents proprietary methodology at scale to illustrate adaptive benchmark/index applications of peer group analytics and valuation, establishing context for institutional investors to identify empirical/prevalent/emerging themes and complementary portfolio strategies (performance dispersion, attribution; portfolio construction).

Efforts to improve data governance are fundamentally strengthened by refinement of conventional sector/industry/subindustry nomenclature assignments as the ability to isolate valuation drivers at distinct points of inflection is dependent on accurate capture of core strategic economic assumptions (idiosyncratic, dislocations).

In this context <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation methodology presents data analytics on a relative portfolio-weighted basis to dimension competitive market information and demonstrate interrelationships among benchmark/index component members across economic sectors/asset classes/geography based on corporate business segment operations. Provided is an opportunity to lever component member attributes and define protocols for index-plus/thematic/megatrend/niche/systematic portfolio strategies (cross-sector/multi-asset/multi-factor).

Featured Clean Energy thematic is derived from a combined Renewables/Diversified Industrials/Technology sector-themed overlay within Invesco’s publicly traded Clean Energy subindustry benchmark proxy ETF (ticker PBW), utilizing the modularity of business segment operations embedded within company revenue lines to generate effective Tier-2: Alpha and Alpha-Beta screens.

>> PBW total return: 3-mos. +3.0%, 4Q24 +0.9%, CY24 -30.8%; 12-mos. performance dispersion +559.2%/-80.5% (011525).

>> PBW Fwd adj. PE=24.7 Beta=1.6 versus 23.9/1.6, 28.4/1.6 and 26.8/1.6 sequentially [40.0 limit; N/A totals 51.5% (v. 49.9%) based on portfolio weight and 52.2% of count (-0.7%), 5.7% on market capitalization (-1.3%); Large-cap 23.8% (-2.3%), Mid-cap 32.0% (-6.7%), Small-cap 44.8% (+9.3%)].

>> SPX 12-month Fwd PE=21.5/4Q24 v. 21.4/3Q24, 21.2/2Q24, 20.6/1Q24 (FactSet); CAPE 37.4 from 36.7/35.8/34.7, mean 17.2 (Shiller).

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation segments include Wind, Solar, Fuel Cells, Smart Grid, Water, LED, Biofuel, Automotive, Natural Gas, Storage and Aviation plus further classifications detailing component member assignments based on corporate business segment operations (12 segments, 67 classifications, 254 single and multi-listed component members; n=67).

Please message direct with any questions or for product development considerations; spreadsheet downloads available for research libraries at b-platform Access tab (auto-generated password, PayPal hosted; note tutorials in support).


universalorbit.com/Access

w/r/t the past-positive forward looking portfolio-based relative indicators featured in <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation, a brief primer is provided online along with recent posts ‘Alpha, Beta, Alpha-Beta’, <U/O> Tutorial_5: Performance Dispersion (Meta) and slideshow <U/O> Matrix - Establishing Predictive Value: Applied Indexation, Hierarchical Data Sets and Competitive Market Information.

#EnergyComplex #CleanEnergy #Renewables #Strategy #PortfolioManagement #PortfolioStrategies #CorporateFinance #BSOs #Analytics




At Venn’s intersection, sets and subsets of competing interests endure. The dynamic principles of business segment operations are three-fold: 1) multinational and Large-cap companies function as benchmark sector/industry/subindustry proxies based on scale (Alpha-Beta), 2) Small- and Mid-cap companies participate as competitive peers (Alpha) and, hence, acquisition candidates and 3) among subsets of 1) and 2) are companies provisioning multiple economic sectors, asset classes and geographies.

Successful portfolio strategies (fundamental, index-plus, systematic) and adaptive investable motifs (niche, thematic, megatrend) isolate Value in Growth, and Growth in Value, by aligning the prospective Alpha drivers directly associated with ecosystem composition and supply chain verticals.

Forward looking statements, estimates and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. This content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. No part of this product, related articles, publications or web-based content may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission of Universal Orbit © 2025 and David B. Kleinberg.


Thursday, December 5, 2024

UO Matrix via Applied Indexation (...a brief)

 

In advance: Interim period audit of benchmark index/proxy performance (post-election, post-earnings, intervaled-Fed) is enhanced by survey of both broad composite characteristics and contrasting ranged component member performance dispersion on a delineated market-, equal- and portfolio-weighted basis. Developing further depth in benchmark analysis and indexation, to include a cross-sector/multi-asset/multi-factor approach, provides adaptive applications of peer group analytics and valuation.

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation methodology presents data analytics on a relative portfolio-weighted basis to dimension competitive market information and demonstrate interrelationships among benchmark index/proxy component members across economic sectors/asset classes/geography based on corporate business segment operations.

Featured Clean Energy thematic is derived from a combined Renewables/Diversified Industrials/Technology sector-themed overlay within Invesco’s publicly traded subindustry benchmark proxy (ETF ticker PBW), utilizing the modularity of business segment operations embedded within company revenue lines to generate effective Tier-2: Alpha and Alpha-Beta screens.

In this brief exercise, an initial abstraction of premise is levered (then deconstructed) to readily effect performance attribution and set parameters of valuation at distinct points of inflection; capital market dynamics and corporate catalysts are evident within an evolving investment universe. PBW 'interim period scorecard' 112924 (v. 093024):

>> PBW total return: YTD24 -25.9% (-31.4%), 1-mo. +7.9% (+3.9%), 3-mo. +12.3% (-0.2%)

>> Weighted price performance YTD24: market-weighted +31.4% (+5.8%), equal-weighted -9.7% (-16.4%), portfolio-weighted +4.6% (-13.3%)

>> Component member total return performance dispersion: YTD24 +353.5%/-83.1% (+204.8%/-79.5%), 1-mo. +203.8%/-40.1% (+65.4%/-51.8%), 3-mo. +181.5%/-52.9% (+133.9%/-65.6%)

>> Median YTD24: -23.0% (-23.9%); n=68

>> Capitalization: Large-cap 22.7% (26.1%), Mid-cap 42.8% (38.7%), Small-cap 34.4% (35.5%)

For additional background and methodology, reference 3QTR24 period release (click here).

Please message direct with any questions or for product development considerations; spreadsheet downloads available for research libraries at b-platform Access tab (auto-generated password; PayPal hosted).

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation segments include Wind, Solar, Fuel Cells, Smart Grid, Water, LED, Biofuel, Automotive, Natural Gas, Storage and Aviation plus further classifications detailing component member assignments based on corporate business segment operations (12 segments, 61 classifications, 238 single and multi-listed component members; n=68).

#EnergyComplex #CleanEnergy #Renewables #Strategy #PortfolioManagement #PortfolioStrategies #CorporateFinance #BSOs #Analytics #AppliedIndexation



At Venn’s intersection, sets and subsets of competing interests endure. The dynamic principles of business segment operations are three-fold: 1) multinational and Large-cap companies function as benchmark sector/industry/subindustry proxies based on scale (Alpha-Beta), 2) Small- and Mid-cap companies participate as competitive peers (Alpha) and, hence, acquisition candidates and 3) among subsets of 1) and 2) are companies provisioning multiple economic sectors, asset classes and geographies.

Successful portfolio strategies (fundamental, index-plus, systematic) and adaptive investable motifs (niche, thematic, megatrend) isolate Value in Growth, and Growth in Value, by aligning the prospective Alpha drivers directly associated with ecosystem composition and supply chain verticals.

Forward looking statements, estimates and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. This content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. No part of this product, related articles, publications or web-based content may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission of Universal Orbit © 2024 and David B. Kleinberg.


Tuesday, October 22, 2024

3QTR24 UO Matrix via Applied Indexation


In advance: 3QTR24 <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation is currently available in multi-sheet format.

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation illustrates adaptive applications of peer group analytics and valuation, establishing breadth for institutional investors to identify empirical themes of performance dispersion and mean reversion, and prospects for incremental/decremental outperformance (absolute, bifurcated).

In this context, <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation methodology presents data analytics on a relative portfolio-weighted basis to dimension competitive market information and demonstrate interrelationships among benchmark index/proxy component members across economic sectors/asset classes/geography based on corporate business segment operations.

Iterating from standardized benchmark taxonomy and characteristics, derivative quantitative metrics provide an opportunity to lever (or deconstruct) component member attributes and define protocols for index-plus/thematic/megatrend/niche/systematic portfolio strategies (cross-sector/multi-asset/multi-factor).

Featured Clean Energy thematic is derived from a combined Renewables/Diversified Industrials/Technology sector-themed overlay within Invesco’s publicly traded Clean Energy subindustry benchmark proxy ETF (ticker PBW), utilizing the modularity of business segment operations embedded within company revenue lines to generate effective Tier-2: Alpha and Alpha-Beta screens.

>> PBW total return: 3-mos. -8.3%, 3Q24 -0.2%, 1-mo. +6.3%, 12-mos. -26.9%; YTD24 performance dispersion +204.6%/-80.8% (101824).

>> PBW Fwd adj. PE=23.9 Beta=1.6 versus 28.4/1.6, 26.8/1.6 and 24.0/1.5 sequentially [40.0 limit; N/A totals 49.9% (v. 57.4%) based on portfolio weight and 52.9% of count (-4.2%), 7.0% on market capitalization (-1.5%); Large-cap 26.1% (+5.8%), Mid-cap 38.7% (+2.3%), Small-cap 35.5% (-7.8%)].

>> SPX 12-month Fwd PE=21.4/3Q24 v. 21.2/2Q24, 20.6/1Q24, 19.2/4Q23 (FactSet); CAPE 36.7 from 35.8/34.7/32.3, mean 17.2 (Shiller).

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation segments include Wind, Solar, Fuel Cells, Smart Grid, Water, LED, Biofuel, Automotive, Natural Gas, Storage and Aviation plus further classifications detailing component member assignments based on corporate business segment operations (12 segments, 61 classifications, 238 single and multi-listed component members; n=68).

Please message direct with any questions or for product development considerations; spreadsheet downloads available for research libraries at b-platform Access tab (auto-generated password; PayPal hosted).


www.universalorbit.com/access

note: w/r/t the past-positive forward looking portfolio-based relative indicators featured in <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation, a brief primer is provided online along with recent posts ‘Alpha, Beta, Alpha-Beta’, <U/O> Tutorial_5: Performance Dispersion (Meta) and slideshow <U/O> Matrix - Establishing Predictive Value: Applied Indexation, Hierarchical Data Sets and Competitive Market Information.

#EnergyComplex #CleanEnergy #Renewables #Strategy #PortfolioManagement #PortfolioStrategies #CorporateFinance #BSOs #Analytics



At Venn’s intersection, sets and subsets of competing interests endure. The dynamic principles of business segment operations are three-fold: 1) multinational and Large-cap companies function as benchmark sector/industry/subindustry proxies based on scale (Alpha-Beta), 2) Small- and Mid-cap companies participate as competitive peers (Alpha) and, hence, acquisition candidates and 3) among subsets of 1) and 2) are companies provisioning multiple economic sectors, asset classes and geographies.

Successful portfolio strategies (fundamental, index-plus, systematic) and adaptive investable motifs (niche, thematic, megatrend) isolate Value in Growth, and Growth in Value, by aligning the prospective Alpha drivers directly associated with ecosystem composition and supply chain verticals.

Forward looking statements, estimates and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. This content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. No part of this product, related articles, publications or web-based content may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission of Universal Orbit © 2024 and David B. Kleinberg.


Tuesday, July 16, 2024

2QTR24 UO Matrix via Applied Indexation

 

In advance: 2QTR24 <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation is currently available in multi-sheet format.

Featured Clean Tech thematic is derived from a combined Renewables/Diversified Industrials/Technology sector-themed overlay within Invesco’s publicly traded Clean Energy subindustry benchmark proxy ETF (ticker PBW), utilizing the modularity of business segment operations embedded within company revenue lines to generate effective Tier-2: Alpha and Alpha-Beta screens.

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation incorporates a relative portfolio-weighted approach to benchmark analysis and competitive market information in tandem with refined sector/industry/subindustry nomenclature assignments to improve peer group analytics and valuation. In this construct, critical multi-sector/cross-asset/factor-based variables may be further catalyzed along with conventional market- versus equal-weighted index/proxy total return performance comparables at distinct points of inflection.

>> PBW total return: 3-mos. +11.8%, 2Q24 -12.0%, 1-mo. +4.2%, 12-mos. -44.3%; YTD24 performance dispersion +167.5%/-96.7% (071224).

>> PBW Fwd adj. PE=28.4 Beta=1.6 versus 26.8/1.6, 24.0/1.5 and 23.7/1.5 sequentially [40.0 limit; N/A totals 57.4% (v. 62.0%) based on portfolio weight and 57.1% of count (-6.3%), 8.5% on market capitalization (-1.3%); Large-cap 20.3% (+4.5%), Mid-cap 36.4% (-2.2%), Small-cap 43.3% (-2.2%)].

>> SPX 12-month Fwd PE=21.2/2Q24 v. 20.6/1Q24, 19.2/4Q23, 17.9/3Q23 (FactSet); CAPE 35.8 from 34.7/32.3/29.5, mean 16.0 (Shiller).

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation segments include Wind, Solar, Fuel Cells, Smart Grid, Water, LED, Biofuel, Automotive, Natural Gas, Storage and Aviation plus further classifications detailing component member assignments based on corporate business segment operations (12 segments, 58 classifications, 251 single and multi-listed component members; n=70).

Business segment operations illustrate the interrelationships among benchmark index/proxy component members across economic sectors, asset classes and geography. Articulating resilient consecutive and parallel investment narratives serves to demonstrate differentiated value and isolate dislocations in valuation (performance dispersion).

Please message direct with any questions or for product development considerations; spreadsheet downloads available for research libraries at b-platform Access tab (auto-generated password; PayPal hosted).


www.universalorbit.com

note: w/r/t the past-positive forward looking portfolio-based relative indicators featured in <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation, a brief primer is provided online along with recent posts ‘Alpha, Beta, Alpha-Beta’, <U/O> Tutorial_5: Performance Dispersion (Meta) and slideshow <U/O> Matrix - Establishing Predictive Value: Applied Indexation, Hierarchical Data Sets and Competitive Market Information.

#EnergyComplex #CleanEnergy #Renewables #Strategy #PortfolioManagement #PortfolioStrategies #CorporateFinance #BSOs #Analytics



At Venn’s intersection, sets and subsets of competing interests endure. The dynamic principles of business segment operations are three-fold: 1) multinational and Large-cap companies function as benchmark sector/industry/subindustry proxies based on scale (Alpha-Beta), 2) Small- and Mid-cap companies participate as competitive peers (Alpha) and, hence, acquisition candidates and 3) among subsets of 1) and 2) are companies provisioning multiple economic sectors, asset classes and geographies.

Successful portfolio strategies (fundamental, index-plus, systematic) and adaptive investable motifs (niche, thematic, megatrend) isolate Value in Growth, and Growth in Value, by aligning the prospective Alpha drivers directly associated with ecosystem composition and supply chain verticals.

Forward looking statements, estimates and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. This content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. No part of this product, related articles, publications or web-based content may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission of Universal Orbit © 2024 and David B. Kleinberg.


Sunday, April 21, 2024

1QTR24 UO Matrix via Applied Indexation

 

In advance: 1QTR24 <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation is currently available in multi-sheet format.

Featured Clean Tech thematic is derived from a combined Renewables/Diversified Industrials/Technology sector-themed overlay within Invesco’s publicly traded Clean Energy subindustry benchmark proxy ETF (ticker PBW), utilizing the modularity of business segment operations embedded within company revenue lines to generate effective Tier-2: Alpha and Alpha-Beta screens.

>> PBW total return: 3-mos. -17.7%, 1Q24 -21.9%, CY24 -34.9%; YTD24 performance dispersion +27.6%/-66.4% (041924).

>> PBW Fwd adj. PE=26.8 Beta=1.6 versus 24.0/1.5, 23.7/1.5 and 28.8/1.5 sequentially [40.0 limit; N/A totals 62.0% (v. 60.5%) based on portfolio weight and 63.4% of count (+2.6%), 9.8% on market capitalization (-1.3%); Large-cap 15.8% (-3.3%), Mid-cap 38.6% (-3.3%), Small-cap 45.5% (+6.5%)].

>> SPX 12-month Fwd PE=20.6/1Q24 v. 19.2/4Q23, 17.9/3Q23, 18.9/2Q23 (FactSet); CAPE 34.7 from 32.3/29.5/31.1, mean 17.1 (Shiller).

<U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation segments include Wind, Solar, Fuel Cells, Smart Grid, Water, LED, Biofuel, Automotive, Natural Gas, Storage and Aviation plus further classifications detailing component member assignments based on corporate business segment operations (12 segments, 55 classifications, 248 single and multi-listed component members; n=71).

The interrelationships among valuation drivers within cross-asset multi-factor portfolio strategies may best characterize (and link) corporate business segment operations to improve peer group analytics and valuation.

Successful trading strategies (fundamental, index-plus, systematic) and adaptive investable motifs (niche, thematic, megatrend) isolate Value in Growth, and Growth in Value, by aligning the prospective Alpha drivers directly associated with ecosystem composition and supply chain verticals.

At Venn’s intersection, sets and subsets of competing interests endure. The dynamic principles of business segment operations are three-fold: 1) multinational and Large-cap companies function as benchmark sector/industry/subindustry proxies based on scale (Alpha-Beta), 2) Small- and Mid-cap companies participate as competitive peers (Alpha) and, hence, acquisition candidates and 3) among subsets of 1) and 2) are companies provisioning multiple economic sectors, asset classes and geographies.

Please message direct with any questions or for product development considerations; spreadsheet downloads available for research libraries at b-platform Access tab (auto-generated password; PayPal hosted).


www.universalorbit.com

note: w/r/t the past-positive forward looking portfolio-based relative indicators featured in <U/O> Matrix via Applied Indexation, a brief primer is provided online along with recent posts ‘Alpha, Beta, Alpha-Beta’, <U/O> Tutorial_5: Performance Dispersion (Meta) and slideshow <U/O> Matrix - Establishing Predictive Value: Applied Indexation, Hierarchical Data Sets and Competitive Market Information.

#EnergyComplex #CleanEnergy #Renewables #Strategy #PortfolioManagement #PortfolioStrategies #CorporateFinance #BSOs #Analytics



Forward looking statements, estimates and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information. This content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investing advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. The author's opinions are subject to change without notice. No part of this product, related articles, publications or web-based content may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission of Universal Orbit © 2024 and David B. Kleinberg.